IntelBrief: Will Sudan’s Latest Ceasefire Endure?

Bottom Line Up Front

• The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Security Forces (RSF) reportedly agreed to a ceasefire on Saturday aimed at finding a political settlement to end the country’s devastating war.
• The deal is more ambitious than its humanitarian-oriented predecessors, which have failed to stop a war that has created one of the world’s most dire humanitarian situations.
• Six months after UN officials warned of potential crimes against humanity taking place in Sudan, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken stated earlier this month that both sides had committed war crimes and that the RSF and its allies had engaged in crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing.
• Ethnic violence is once again surging in the largely-RSF-controlled Darfur region, where over two decades, the group’s precursor and others allegedly committed genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity.