November 3, 2021

IntelBrief: Central Asia Pivotal to Great Power Strategy on Afghanistan

AP Photo/Rahmat Gul, File

Bottom Line Up Front

  • China’s establishment of military bases in Tajikistan reflects a shared concern with Central Asian countries about the Taliban’s return to power in Afghanistan.
  • Tajikistan is pivotal to China and other actors because it borders areas of Afghanistan where there is a small, but active, armed opposition to the Taliban.
  • Regional and global powers no longer trust the Taliban’s pledges to prevent global jihadist groups from operating in Afghanistan.
  • China, as well as Russia, wants to prevent the United States from establishing a significant military presence in Central Asia.