August 26, 2021

IntelBrief: Iran Warily Engages Taliban-Controlled Afghanistan

(AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

 Bottom Line up Front

  • Iran is engaging Taliban leaders following their takeover in Afghanistan, hoping for stability and an end to the flow of Afghan refugees into Iran.
  • Tehran is heralding a U.S. humiliation and the U.S. military withdrawal, which has led to the removal of American forces from near its eastern border.   
  • Iran is likely to try to develop leverage against the Taliban by providing support to Afghan resistance factions and Afghan communities opposed to Taliban rule. 
  • As will the United States, Iran will closely monitor whether the Taliban grants safe haven to al-Qaeda and other Sunni Muslim terrorist groups.