October 6, 2016

TSG IntelBrief: The Looming Assault on Mosul

• The long-awaited assault on the Islamic State’s Iraqi stronghold of Mosul is set to begin in the coming months.

• When faced with overwhelming force, the Islamic State has often used a combination of irregular warfare and tactical retreats to impede advancing forces, while saving the bulk of its military force from destruction.

• Given the strategic value of Mosul, however, the group may mount a much more determined defense, risking the defeat of its military center of gravity in Iraq.

• The operation to retake Mosul represents a major test of the Obama administration’s grand strategy in the fight against terrorism.