September 4, 2014

TSG IntelBrief: NATO Summit to Confront Major Issues

• The September 4-5 NATO summit meeting in Cardiff, Wales, had been expected to focus on the future Afghanistan security mission, but the growing Islamic State (IS) and Ukraine crises have emerged as central to the summit agenda

• US allies in NATO are reluctant to take on any new military missions, but there is a high degree of consensus among the alliance to confront the IS menace and face down the Russian Putinist threat to Ukraine’s sovereignty

• The dispute over the Afghan presidential election threatens NATO successes in Afghanistan, but member states are still committed to contributing forces to a post-2014 security mission

• Europe’s continuing economic problems and relatively small defense spending ensure that NATO countries will defer to the US on any major new initiatives.