March 6, 2019

IntelBrief: The Dangerous Escalation Dynamics of Terrorism

Pakistani paramilitary soldiers stand guard at a closed road leading to radical religious party's sit-in protest at an entrance to Islamabad, Pakistan, S (AP Photo/Anjum Naveed).
  • While Pakistan relies on terrorists as proxies, it remains unclear exactly how much control the military and intelligence services have over certain of those terrorist groups.
  • Iran has suffered from a recent increase in terrorist attacks, which could lead Tehran to adopt an aggressive counter-terrorism posture in the region.
  • New Delhi directly blames Islamabad for the February 14 attack in Kashmir by Jaish-e-Mohammed, a Pakistani-based terrorist group.
  • Global and regional powers are well positioned to pressure Pakistan to rein in militant groups operating on its soil to avoid broader conflicts.