July 5, 2018

IntelBrief: Iran’s Economic Crisis 

President Hassan Rouhani addresses the nation in a televised speech in Tehran, Iran  (Iranian Presidency Office via AP).
  • The reimposition of U.S. sanctions is having the expected adverse effect on Iran’s economy, and has produced renewed popular unrest.
  • The cause of the crisis is the stampede of corporate announcements of disengagement from the Iran market. 
  • Economic difficulties will not cause Iran’s leaders to lose power, renegotiate the 2015 nuclear agreement, or retrench Iran’s regional interventions.
  • Iranian leaders are more likely to pull out of the nuclear agreement because of the economic and political instability.