April 12, 2022

IntelBrief: Is MBS Looking for an Exit Ramp in Yemen?

Mandel Ngan/Pool Photo via AP

Bottom Line up Front

  • A ceasefire and a restructuring of the Yemen government suggest that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman (MBS) is looking for an off-ramp for the conflict.
  • Houthi missile attacks on the Kingdom and the UAE, coupled with strains in U.S. relations with the two Gulf states, may have shifted MBS’ calculations about continuing the military campaign.
  • The realignment of the Republic of Yemen Government is intended to ease infighting that has plagued both the Arab coalition war effort and UN efforts to resolve the conflict.
  • The two-month ceasefire could help ease the humanitarian crisis in Yemen.